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Back to full September/October 2006 email.

September / October 2006 Article

Avian Flu Facts and Plans

Pandemic is a word that has gained popularity in recent years because of the threat posed by a new type of avian flu virus. Yet, most people have lived through two prior pandemics, and some even three. Chances are you have a grandparent or great-grandparent who died in the great flu epidemic of 1918-1919. Worldwide more than 50 million people died, 675,000 of them in the United States. That was a pandemic.

Also categorized as pandemics were the flu scares of 1957-58 and 1968-69. An epidemic affects a region; a pandemic affects the world.

Where do we stand now? 
It takes three conditions for a pandemic to start:

  • a new influenza virus subtype must emerge for which there is little or no human immunity;
  • it must infect humans and cause illness; and
  • it must spread easily and sustainably (continue without interruption) among humans.

The H5N1 virus in Asia, Europe, and Africa meets the first two conditions: it is a new virus for humans and it has infected a growing number of people, killing over half of those known to have been infected.

However, the third condition, the establishment of efficient and sustained human-to-human transmission of the virus, has not occurred. Those who have contracted the illness most likely did so from direct contact with infected birds or their leavings or by consuming raw food from the birds.

Are travelers in any danger now?
The risk of avian influenza to travelers is very low, according to pandemicflu.gov. The website provides one-stop access to U.S. Government avian and pandemic flu information and is managed by the Department of Health and Human Services.

Only rare cases of human infection with avian influenza have occurred, and there has been no sustained human to human transmission. Travelers to areas affected by avian influenza in birds are not considered to be at elevated risk of infection unless direct and unprotected exposure to infected birds occurs.

The site gives those traveling to an affected area the following cautions

  • Avoid contact with live poultry and wild birds
  • Avoid visiting live animal markets and poultry farms
  • Avoid contact with surfaces contaminated with animal droppings.
  • Avoid handling birds found dead
  • Do not eat or handle undercooked or raw poultry, egg or duck dishes
  • Exercise good personal hygiene with frequent hand washing

What’s being done to prepare for a possible pandemic?
With the last three pandemics, there was little or no warning. No time for preventive steps, no time to prepare a vaccine. This time the World Health Organization and others throughout the world are carefully monitoring the situation among birds and humans. Alarms will be quickly sounded if human-to-human transmission becomes easy and sustainable.

Then, a network of preventive and corrective systems will be launched. These include the development of a vaccine. Unfortunately, an effective vaccine cannot be created until the exact nature of the virus is known. That means it will be a minimum of 6 months after identifying the human virus before the vaccine can be available. It takes 6 to 9 months for a pandemic to circle the globe, thus buying time for some areas. Work is proceeding now on anti-viral medications and vaccines for what is currently known. Medicine distribution and disease containment plans are also in the works.

What can you do?
WHO and national governments are encouraging businesses to prepare their pandemic plans now. These are systems that both protect employees and aim to reduce disruption of essential goods and services. Checklists at the pandemicflu.gov site identify important, specific activities large businesses can do now to prepare, many of which will also help in other emergencies.

The checklists cover:

  • Plan for the impact of a pandemic on your business
  • Plan for the impact of a pandemic on your employees and customers
  • Establishing policies to be implemented during a pandemic
  • Allocating resources to protect your employees and customers during a pandemic
  • Communicating to and educating your employees
  • Coordinating with external organizations and helping your community

Get a copy of these checklists.  

The site also includes a section offering a pandemic flu planning checklist for individuals and families.

Stephen Martin, MD, an official with the World Health Organization in Geneva, presented a session at the GEP Summit in Austria this summer on business planning for the potential pandemic. His talk sparked lively questions and discussions. Below are some additional international websites that he recommends for obtaining the latest information on business preparedness.

Useful precautions for cooks:
Though no contaminated poultry has been found in the United States, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) advises that cooking poultry to the proper temperature and preventing cross-contamination between raw and cooked food is the key to food safety.

Consumers are reminded to:

  • Wash hands with warm water and soap for at least 20 seconds before and after handling food.
  • Prevent cross-contamination by keeping raw poultry, meat, and fish and their juices away from other foods.
  • After cutting raw meat, wash cutting board, knife, and countertops with hot, soapy water.
  • Sanitize cutting boards by using a solution of 1 teaspoon chlorine bleach in 1 quart of water; and
  • Use a food thermometer to ensure poultry has reached the safe internal temperature of at least 165 °F to kill food borne germs that might be present, including the avian influenza virus.

Will a pandemic occur?

No one can say for sure if the bird virus will mutate to become a flu virus that can be passed from human to human. But scientists think it is likely that another pandemic will occur. Only this time, advance warning and plans in place will make a big difference in containing it. Preparation is key.

For more fascinating and useful information, browse the pandemicflu.gov website.